40 Years After EDSA: People Power Without a System

By Karl Garcia


In a few days, the Philippines will mark a profound milestone: forty years since the 1986 People Power Revolution. Four decades since ordinary Filipinos converged on EDSA and, without guns or generals, toppled a dictatorship. It was a moment when fear lost its grip, when collective courage bent the course of history, and when the nation proved—decisively—that power does not always flow from the top.

EDSA reclaimed the country and restored democracy. But forty years later, the harder question confronts us: what have we built since?

A Nation of Participation—Without Power

The Philippines prides itself on being a democracy of participation. We have elections, stirring speeches, constitutional guarantees, and a political culture saturated with the language of “by the people, for the people.” And yet, for many Filipinos, democracy feels more ritual than reality.

We vote—but we do not govern.
We speak—but we rarely decide.
We mobilize during crises—then fade into the background once power is secured.

This is the Philippine paradox: a nation rich in movements, but poor in systems. We possess institutions, but too often they exist in isolation, underused or easily captured. Participation is celebrated symbolically, yet constrained practically. Democracy survives—but it does not fully function.

EDSA as Culture, Not a System

EDSA was not merely a political event; it was a cultural declaration. It said, collectively and unmistakably: we will not be governed by fear. That moral instinct—people power—has since become part of our national identity.

But culture alone cannot run a state.

Moral energy must be translated into institutions. Institutions must be designed to work together, predictably and over time. Without this translation, people power becomes episodic—activated in moments of outrage, then dormant once normal politics resumes. Passion without structure fades into nostalgia.

This is where we consistently fail.

Institutions Exist. Sequencing Does Not.

The 1987 Constitution already provides tools for direct democracy: referendums, plebiscites, people’s initiatives. The problem is not their absence. The problem is how—and when—we try to use them.

Governance is not built by piling reforms on top of each other. It is built through sequencing.

Introduce direct democracy too early, and it does not empower citizens—it empowers whoever can manipulate them fastest. Money, misinformation, and political machinery fill the vacuum where civic capacity should be.

Before people power can function as governance, three things must happen.

First, the system must be cleaned.
Campaign finance must be enforced. Corruption must be punished. The civil service must be professionalized. Without this foundation, participation becomes theater.

Second, citizens must be equipped.
Direct democracy is not about emotion; it is about deliberation. Civic education, access to reliable information, and spaces for reasoned debate are not luxuries—they are prerequisites.

Only then does direct democracy make sense—not as mob rule, but as structured participation that strengthens representative institutions rather than undermining them.

Integration: From Voice to Policy

Sequencing alone is not enough. Institutions must also be integrated.

Citizen decisions must connect to legislatures for implementation, courts for review, and executives for enforcement. Otherwise, participation becomes symbolic—and cynicism grows. Democracy cannot survive on gestures. It survives on feedback loops that prove participation leads to real outcomes.

The Present Moment: A Test of Memory

Today, the Philippines is led by Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr.—a reality inseparable from the legacy of EDSA. This is not merely historical irony; it is a stress test of our democratic memory.

The administration promotes growth through infrastructure and social programs, yet recurring governance failures—such as the flood control scandal—reveal how easily weak systems bend to vested interests. These are not isolated incidents. They are symptoms of institutions that exist without sufficient accountability.

“Never Again” was never meant to be a slogan. It was meant to be a system.

Justice, Spectacle, and State Capacity

The same weakness appears in how the Philippine state approaches justice. The so-called war on drugs may have faded from headlines, but its legacy remains: overcrowded jails, paralyzed courts, and a justice system many Filipinos no longer trust.

That campaign revealed a hard truth. The Philippine state knows how to use force. It does not know how to build capacity.

Wars are spectacles. Institutions are solutions.

Justice in the Philippines still depends too heavily on individual courage. But courage is not scalable. Institutions are. If justice is treated as a commodity, every crisis invites another “war.” If justice is treated as a public service, the state must invest—patiently and persistently—in courts, prosecutors, public defenders, and due process, even when it is politically unrewarding.

From Survival to Progress

Filipinos are resilient. We know how to survive. But survival is not progress.

A democracy that only activates during moments of outrage is not a democracy—it is a pressure valve. Real democracy is boring, procedural, and constant. It is practiced daily, not performed episodically.

The Philippines does not lack people power.
It lacks a system that makes people power last.

Renewing EDSA’s Promise

The enduring legacy of EDSA is not simply the fall of a dictator. It is the reminder that democracy is a choice that must be made—again and again—through institutions that work.

“By the people, for the people” must stop being a slogan and start becoming infrastructure.

Because a nation that is not truly built by its people will always end up being built for someone else. And the Philippines was never meant to be built for someone else.

Forty years after EDSA, the question remains:

Are we ready—not just to remember people power—but to finally systematize it?


Comments
28 Responses to “40 Years After EDSA: People Power Without a System”
  1. CV's avatar CV says:

    Are we ready—not just to remember people power—but to finally systematize it?

    I think we are ready to systematize it. The country has already begun, and I watch its progress eagerly. In invite anyone similarly interested to join me. To be honest, I find it more exciting than the coming Winter Olympics. hehehe

    • CV's avatar CV says:

      This is from ABS-CBN, dated January 21, 2026

      **MANILA — The Department of Information and Communications Technology said it will soon launch the eGov AI, an all-in-one government AI platform that can be used for free by all Filipinos. The DICT described eGov AI as an intelligent assistant within the eGov app and will help citizens in various government processes. It has multi-language support with a translator, image identifier, and more.**

      The goal of the system is to further empower the common tao, and to weaken the position of corrupt people in government and private sector by limiting their face-to-face contact with the common tao.

  2. JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

    There was a meeting of the Liberal/Leftish top legislators yesterday, including Robredo, Hontiveros, Drilon, Aquino, De Lima, Pangilinan, plus two or three others. This is the future of the Philippines, good, honest, and productive, if voters are properly informed and educated. That is, if this brain trust can move into action: organize, fund, communicate. Highly uplifting to see this meeting. It excluded the hard left, the dynasts, and the China lovers.

    • Karl Garcia's avatar Karl Garcia says:

      Very uplifting.

    • CV's avatar CV says:

      “There was a meeting of the Liberal/Leftish top legislators yesterday, including Robredo, Hontiveros, Drilon, Aquino, De Lima, Pangilinan, plus two or three others.” – JoeAm

      Who are the likely 3 others? Per a little research on my part: – possibly Sen. Chel Diokno, Barry Gutierrez, Teddy Baguilat, Rep. Kit Belmonte, and Erin Tañada. This is grapevine type info….

      “This is the future of the Philippines, good, honest, and productive, if voters are properly informed and educated. That is, if this brain trust can move into action: organize, fund, communicate.” – JoeAm

      Apparently this coalition has already begun moving. They are using Social Media and recognize that they have to counter the fire hose of falsehoods that an opponent (like then Marcos, Jr.) can generate.

      They are partnering with Marcos, Jr.’s people at my favorite project, the DICT (Almirol and Aguda), encouraging the development and widespread use of eGovDX and the eGovPH Super App. They obviously recognize that it is a tool not only to make the government services easier for the common tao, but to make it more difficult for the “bad guys” or corrupt people in both the private and public sectors to do their crimes.

      They are doing a lot of other things to reach out to the voter learning from past mistakes.

      “Highly uplifting to see this meeting. It excluded the hard left, the dynasts, and the China lovers.” – JoeAm

      I agree. I think the citizenry should do their best to encourage this coalition in every way they can, including what I call “talk it up!” That is the opposite of silence and apathy. The coalition faces a daunting task, but that is the definition of nation building – Hard Work. Are the Pinoys up to it. I am cautiously optimistic primarily because of the work leverage the eGovDX program theoretically will allow IF INSTALLED AND USED PROPERLY.

      Fingers crossed.

      • I recall reading about some structural concepts to put together government computer systems back in the late PNoy admin, and did some inquiry in ChatGPT about whether the foundation for what is today was laid then, getting this answer which is a result of some queries and summaries:

        The development of eGovDX and eGovPH is best understood as a long institutional and architectural evolution rather than a sudden technological leap. During the administration of President Benigno Aquino III (2010–2016), the Philippine government articulated the conceptual foundations of modern digital governance but did not yet implement the integrated systems seen today. That period established the vision of a whole-of-government approach, in which interoperability, shared services, and coordinated ICT planning were recognized as essential to improving public service delivery. The emphasis was on defining what digital government should eventually become.

        Aquino III’s administration advanced this vision by introducing early enterprise architecture thinking into government policy. Through national ICT strategies and e-government master planning, the state began treating government as a single enterprise rather than a collection of isolated agencies. These plans called for shared registries, common standards, and eventual data exchange across institutions—ideas that directly anticipate the logic behind eGovDX. Although largely aspirational at the time, these architectural principles set the direction for future implementation.

        The most durable structural contribution of the Aquino III period was institutional: the creation of the Department of Information and Communications Technology in 2016. DICT provided the governance mechanism necessary to enforce standards, coordinate agencies, and centralize digital policy. While the department initially focused on consolidation and capacity building, its existence made it possible for later administrations to move from coordination-based ICT governance to mandate-driven integration.

        In the years that followed, especially in the late 2010s and early 2020s, the government shifted from planning to execution. DICT began building shared digital infrastructure, strengthening cybersecurity frameworks, standardizing data and APIs, and developing a national data exchange layer. eGovDX emerged as the technical backbone of this effort, enabling secure, real-time interoperability among agency systems. Parallel investments in digital identity, authentication, and cloud infrastructure made it feasible to integrate services at scale.

        These backend developments ultimately enabled the launch of eGovPH as a unified, citizen-facing platform. Rather than a standalone application, eGovPH sits atop a layered architecture made possible by earlier structural reforms: interoperable agency systems connected via eGovDX, governed by DICT, and reinforced by stronger executive and legal mandates. Taken together, the Aquino III administration provided the blueprint and institutional logic, while subsequent administrations built, enforced, and scaled the structure—turning digital government from a strategic concept into an operational ecosystem.

        such a large system architecture is about as complex as building a road network (think of the different stages of Skyway in Metro Manila based on a concept from the 1990s, or the C5 and C6 roads which were conceptualized way back in the 1970s) or a public transport network (though I get the feeling that the MRT/LRT network of Metro Manila was patchwork, unlike Bangkok, but that would have to be studied more closely) – so it is not surprising the groundwork started earlier.

        What would be interesting is how much thought has been put into making it work even for the DE classes. They do all have mobile phones nowadays. And of course how gaps in what IT pros call “rollout” can be addressed like people who still lack national IDs, late registration of birth certificate which is an issue in poorer communities, getting NBI clearance online etc etc – but that would be an interesting topic for those with more time for this than me.

        • CV's avatar CV says:

          “What would be interesting is how much thought has been put into making it work even for the DE classes.” – Irineo

          I agree that yes that would be interesting.

          I am guardedly optimistic w/ regard to the thought put into it, largely because the Philippine government received international awards for it and the people leading it, Almirol and Aguda, appear very qualified, at least on paper.

        • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

          NBI clearances on line would be HUGE. If the systems were tied together it should take about 3 seconds. “Nil” reports.

          • CV's avatar CV says:

            **NBI clearances on line would be HUGE. If the systems were tied together it should take about 3 seconds. “Nil” reports.** – JoeAm

            Exactamente….imagine if people applying for certain jobs needed NBI clearances, maybe even prospective OFWs….!! Something to get excited about, in my mind.

            And there are a lot of other areas serving the citizenry and residents….we just have to keep the ball rolling, momentum as somebody mentioned recently. Hold their feet to the fire (Almirol/Aguda & Co., and their replacements if they get replaced).

            I believe the coalition you mentioned has bought into the xGovDX project. If Marcos, Jr. is in it, and the opposition is in it, what do they see in it that makes them jump in? I think they see the potential power of the people at the gates, so the Gatekeepers are on yellow alert.

            I think every able bodied Filipino citizen, when confronting any government person or politician, should be prepared to ask “Where is your department in this eGovDX campaign?” Keep up the pressure…legacy of People Power, hindi ba?

      • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

        Thanks for filling in the blanks. The encouraging points for me were that Robredo was there, suggesting she will continue to play a role in national affairs, and the moderate left was there, indicating a broadening of the strict LP core of Aquino/De Lima/Drilon. These are consistent with the coalition building I’ve been advocating for months. Tying in with the Marcos political factions would help in a major way.

        • CV's avatar CV says:

          “… indicating a broadening of the strict LP core of Aquino/De Lima/Drilon. These are consistent with the coalition building I’ve been advocating for months.” – JoeAm

          Amen to that. Unfortunately, with us Pinoys, coalitions can be fragile. Just look at the Marcos-Duterte “coalition.” Hehehe

          When Marcos, Sr. called a “snap election” back in I guess it was ’86, I remember Laurel wanted to run for president. That would have been Marcos-Cory Aquino-Laurel. Just what Marcos, Sr. needed – a divided opposition.

          Fortunately, common sense prevailed and for the sake of the common cause of toppling Marcos, Sr., Laurel agreed not to run. The rest is history, probably forgotten history in the Philippines.

          • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

            True. Planning here looks superficially for quick solutions (Duterte) rather than anchoring decisions to moral correctness, mathematical probabilities, or metrics. Filipinos have not been taught critical thinking rigor, only how to get to the next grade. And thinking is infested with lies from evil players who believe they are little gods for screwing over the vulnerable and uninformed. DDS are evil pissants trying to be important by abusing Filipino well-being. MAGA Americans are the same and there are way more of the cretins.

            • CV's avatar CV says:

              “Planning here looks superficially for quick solutions (Duterte) rather than anchoring decisions to moral correctness, mathematical probabilities, or metrics.” – JoeAm

              I can’t judge because I’m not that sly or clever. I do know that Marcos, Sr. was a lifetime Liberal Party politician…until he wanted to run for President and the incumbent (Macapagal) was also a Liberal and wanted to run for re-election and he had seniority over the younger FM, Sr.

              So Ferdie, Sr. switched parties to the Nationalista Party and somehow the “rookie” Nacionalista became their candidate to run against Macapagal. He won and remained in power for almost 19 years. I think anyone who wants to argue against the wisdom of that “quick solution” will have a tough time.

              “Filipinos have not been taught critical thinking rigor, only how to get to the next grade.” – JoeAm

              I would not be too hard on our dear “happy fools.” There are many who do think critically. A lot are abroad earning enough money to sustain loved ones back in the homeland. It is my hope that there are enough critical thinkers at home to right the sinking ship of State before it is too late. The tool that is the Estonian model offers a light of hope. If our few bright men and women can just reverse engineer it and ram it against the gatekeepers, our Eden lost may yet be regained. The coalition you mentioned maybe can lead the folks to the promised land.

              Bahala na si Batman who has been spotted in the country.  🙂

              • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

                I don’t see how being factually accurate is considered “being hard on” Filipinos. The voting tabulations are for the entire range of existing “fools”, not the exceptions who can indeed think critically. Or go to Philippine scores on international education/intelligence rankings. Or look around, in the Philippines. Rote education does not inspire or teach conceptual thinking. So solutions are not found. Review studies. Don’t personalize the remark.

                Looking at Marcos and extrapolating him to anything is terribly fallacious thinking. It is diversionary to the remark you quoted, and it is errant generalization from one case to the entire population.

                And kindly don’t troll me on my comments. You are already on thin ice. Tell us what you know rather than sharpshoot our thinking.

                • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

                  Gemini on why the Philippines has historically scored low on IQ comparisons: “Factors Influencing Scores: Lower scores in the past have been linked to issues in the education system, such as a focus on rote memorization, along with nutritional deficiencies and environmental factors.”

  3. CV's avatar CV says:

    “The Philippines does not lack people power.
    It lacks a system that makes people power last.”

    It lacks an empowered people. Build a system that empowers the people and you can watch people power last.

    >>When government IT systems can interoperate securely, it becomes easier for businesses — especially small and medium enterprises — to:

    • Comply with regulatory requirements quickly
    • Register, pay taxes, and report electronically
    • Build digital tools on top of official government services

    This reduces barriers to entry and strengthens economic participation by more of the population.<<

    Economic participation, as has been brought up by one or two people in this forum recently, empowers people. They have more vested in the system, therefore more to lose if things aren’t working right. I’ve heard people say that here. I, of course, agree.

  4. A useful tool to minimize corruption would be a Freedom of Information act with more teeth.

    Plus of course regional / provincial / municipal civic society that keeps track of government projects.

    These organizations can easily publish Transparency Reports as spreadsheets on social media.

    It is easier to keep track of stuff at more local levels as the numbers and projects look more real.

    Is the barangay hall there, does the price make sense, how does the bridge going to school look like?

    I do agree that economic growth will empower Filipinos more so I know it should be a priority.

    Still preventing ghost and blatantly overpriced projects is important to get to actual progress.

    Some padding might still happen but there will be less incentive for that in a future richer country.

    • CV's avatar CV says:

      “A useful tool to minimize corruption would be a Freedom of Information act with more teeth.” – Irineo

      Makes sense. Historically, it seems that 3 people in Philippine government have been working on this in the past few years: Drillon, Robredo (when she was VP), and De Lima. Apparently it has been a struggle, but De Lima and Senator Pangilinan are on it today. Apparently there is a Bill in the House of Representatives on Freedom of Information sponsored by de Lima AND there is another one in the Senate sponsored by Pangilinan. Both are in the coalition mentioned by JoeAm. I say “apparently” because I just rely on what I read in through the internet. Hopefully folks back home like JoeAm, Kasambahay, Karl, and Istambaysakanto (and maybe Arlene?) can confirm my “apparently” knowldege…hehehe

      Looks like good news though, eh? 🙂

      • Karl Garcia's avatar Karl Garcia says:

        Real talk? Your chances of getting what you want through FOI in the Philippines are mixed—sometimes decent, often frustrating. It really depends on what you’re asking for and who you’re asking.

        Here’s the lay of the land: The baseline reality

        • The PH has Executive Order No. 2 (FOI EO), not a full FOI law.
        • It only binds the Executive branch.
          Congress, the Senate, judiciary, constitutional bodies? Voluntary.
        • So FOI here is a policy promise, not a hard legal right.

        When your chances are GOOD

        You’re more likely to succeed if:

        • The request is routine, administrative, or statistical
        • The agency already publishes similar data
        • It doesn’t touch national security, active investigations, or “sensitive” contracts
        • You ask specific documents, not broad fishing expeditions
        • Agencies like:
          • PSA
          • DOH (non-sensitive data)
          • DepEd (budgets, programs)
          • DTI, DENR (reports, not negotiations)

        Rough odds: 60–80% compliance, though often delayed or partially redacted. When your chances DROP fast

        You’re likely to get denied, stalled, or ghosted if it involves:

        • Big-ticket infrastructure contracts
        • China-related projects
        • Defense, intelligence, police operations
        • Names of officials linked to wrongdoing
        • Anything that could cause “embarrassment” (a favorite silent category)

        Expect:

        • “Denied due to exception”
        • “Request too broad”
        • No reply at all
        • Endless “processing”

        Rough odds: 10–30%, sometimes zero. The classic FOI problem in PH

        Even when they approve:

        • You get heavily redacted PDFs
        • Data is incomplete
        • Timelines are ignored (15 days is… aspirational)
        • Appeals exist—but no real penalty for agencies that stonewall

        How to improve your odds

        Practical moves:

        • Narrow the scope (dates, offices, document titles)
        • Avoid loaded language (no “anomalies,” “corruption”)
        • Frame it as policy research or academic use
        • File multiple smaller requests instead of one big one
        • Know the exemptions better than the FOI officer

        Bottom line

        FOI in the Philippines is:

        • Useful for transparency theater
        • Decent for low-risk information
        • Weak against power, money, and security

        It’s a tool—but a blunt one, unless backed by media pressure, litigation, or politics.

        If you want, tell me:

        • What agency
        • What document
        • How sensitive it is

        I can help you rephrase the request to maximize your odds—or tell you honestly if it’s a dead end.

        • CV's avatar CV says:

          Good research, Karl….yes the current system has no teeth, which is why Irineo wrote: ““A useful tool to minimize corruption would be a Freedom of Information act with more teeth.” – Irineo

          Pangilinan (Senate) and de Lima (House) have bills that need to be finalized and passed. Keep an eye on them. Tell that to everyone you run into. Every bit helps.

  5. https://x.com/nababaha/status/2020011051493085466 OT, sharing this from Dr. Lagmay:

    Congratulations to the Department of Education (DepEd) for successfully issuing an early warning to schools in Iligan City ahead of a major flood event, a day before it occurred.

    Out of roughly 48,000 DepEd schools nationwide, 83 schools were specifically identified and advised to undertake preparedness measures in anticipation of possible flooding from Tropical Depression Basyang. The advisory clearly indicated the expected level of flooding and was disseminated directly to all DepEd Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) coordinators, as well as publicly posted on the DepEd DRRM Facebook page. This exemplifies what effective warning systems should be: hazard-specific, area-focused, and time-bound.

    This impact-based forecasting system for schools was co-developed through the Department of Education–UP RI-NOAH partnership, formalized under the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed on 9 January 2026 by DepEd Secretary Sonny Angara and UP President Angelo Jimenez Jimenez. This collaboration demonstrates how science-policy partnerships can translate into immediate, life-saving outcomes for communities. We call it operational science, a term which refers to scientific knowledge and tools used during emergencies to inform real-time decisions and operational actions.

    As of last night, Felino “Ninoy” Castro, head of the DepEd Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Service (DRRMS), reported zero casualties among the tagged schools in Iligan City. This morning, Iligan City Mayor Freddie Siao confirmed that two fatalities occurred citywide due to flooding.

    A survivor of the Sendong disaster, Mayor Freddie Siao served as a city councilor in 2011 and led search-and-rescue operations at the time. In a phone conversation, he noted that while flooding from Basyang appeared more severe than during Sendong, the number of casualties was dramatically lower. There were two deaths compared to approximately 490 in 2011. He emphasized, however, that despite these gains, there remains significant room for improvement in disaster management.

    • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

      Storms in the Philippines are fickle. My son’s school is very plugged into weather forecasts and the LGU and has a multi-pronged communication of texts and e-mails to parents and students. It also has stand by DL capability and one day a week dedicated to DL for upper levels. The storm that recently rolled through south and central Visayas was handled via a “yes there will be school today” confirmation at 5:30 in the morning, a good call that squeezed in a day of school the day before the storm hit.

      • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

        Also OT but related to schools, my son’s school is proactive on AI as a learning tool. Two changes in policy go along with it: (1) Homework is no longer graded. Only in class work is graded. The school accepts that students can use AI to accelerate learning at home but are checked on competence “live” at school. (2) Project papers are scanned to determine AI content with higher grades given for original work. My son’s work in one course was assed at 20% AI content early in the year and is 0% now. He uses AI liberally to organize his work and query for information. He then writes from his own brain.

        • This MIT study suggests that it is indeed probably better to write from one’s own brain: https://time.com/7295195/ai-chatgpt-google-learning-school/ (I think using tools is helpful, but overuse can indeed be like using escalator and elevator all the time instead of taking the stairs, or always going by car instead of walking)

          After writing the three essays, the subjects were then asked to re-write one of their previous efforts—but the ChatGPT group had to do so without the tool, while the brain-only group could now use ChatGPT. The first group remembered little of their own essays, and showed weaker alpha and theta brain waves, which likely reflected a bypassing of deep memory processes. “The task was executed, and you could say that it was efficient and convenient,” Kosmyna says. “But as we show in the paper, you basically didn’t integrate any of it into your memory networks.”

          • JoeAm's avatar JoeAm says:

            True I suppose, for those of us with lazy brains. Those of you with photocopy brains might be different. Joe Junior has one of those, too, and as a teen knows more about everything than I do. The AI era will reshape human intelligence, for sure, a mix of dumbing down while promoting fast data flows.

  6. https://www.facebook.com/PinasPulse/posts/pfbid0opEsBP6arC7y67EbhZmQVJNkiH25EZ1ynuDNX6BbfBak7Fqp96wXC46vKmwSmqRBl OT but interesting:

    CONDO GLUT: WHY METRO MANILA’S OVERSUPPLY LOOKS LIKE A GOVERNANCE FAILURE — NOT JUST A MARKET CYCLE
    Metro Manila is drowning in condominiums — and the numbers show this is not just a normal real-estate slowdown.
    According to Colliers Philippines, the region ended 2025 with about 7–9 years’ worth of unsold condominium inventory, even after aggressive discounts and promos by developers. Just six months earlier, the oversupply had reached an alarming 13+ years of inventory — one of the worst gluts in Asia.
    Even after a modest rebound in sales (“take-up”) to about 10,000 units, vacancy remains near 25%, with some areas such as Pasay-Parañaque, Manila, and parts of Quezon City having far worse figures. That means hundreds of thousands of units were built that Filipinos could not realistically afford or absorb.
    So how did this happen?
    Because local governments earn huge money when towers are approved — not when people actually live in them.
    Every condo project generates:
    • Building and zoning fees
    • Fire, occupancy, and environmental clearances
    • Realty and transfer taxes
    • Pre-selling registration fees
    These are collected upfront, even if the building later sits half-empty.
    So LGUs had strong incentives to approve as many towers as possible, regardless of traffic, flooding, water, power, or real housing demand.
    At the national level, housing regulators (HLURB → DHSUD) largely relied on developer-submitted demand forecasts instead of independent verification. Utilities and infrastructure agencies also kept issuing clearances, even in already congested and water-stressed districts.
    Banks kept funding the boom because condos could be booked at developer list prices, not real market value — masking the true risk.
    This is how regulatory capture works:
    The agencies meant to protect the public end up serving the industry they regulate.
    The result is what we see today:
    • Overbuilt skylines
    • Congested roads
    • Flood-prone communities
    • Expensive land
    • And tens of thousands of empty units
    This is not random.
    It is the predictable outcome of a system that rewards permits and projects more than livable cities.

    Sources:
    • Colliers Philippines via InsiderPH
    • BusinessWorld
    • Colliers PH Residential Market Reports (2025)

    ⚠️ DISCLAIMER
    This post discusses systemic risks, governance failures, and regulatory incentives based on publicly available data.
    It does not allege criminal conduct by any specific company or public official.

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