(HYPOTHETICAL) PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS TO THE NATION
(HYPOTHETICAL) PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS TO THE NATION
By Karl Garcia
“GUMAGAWA NA ANG PILIPINO” | “THE FILIPINO BUILDS”
Magandang gabi, mga kababayan.
Good evening, my fellow Filipinos.
I speak to you tonight not with a memorandum, not with a bill number, not with an acronym from a bureaucracy you have never heard of — but as your President, as a Filipino, and as a father who has asked himself, again and again, what kind of country we are leaving to those who come after us.
For too long, we have accepted that we are a nation of consumers, not producers. We buy the cars. Someone else builds them. We drive the jeepneys. Someone else manufactures the engines. We fill our roads with vehicles from Thailand, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, and China — and we have told ourselves that this is simply the way things are.
Tonight, I tell you: that is not who we are. That is not who we will become.
I. THE COUNTRY WE HAVE BEEN — AND WHY WE WILL NOT STAY THERE
President Manuel Quezon once said that he would rather have a country run imperfectly by Filipinos than perfectly by others. Today, I echo that truth. Our automotive sector has not even been run imperfectly — it has been largely abdicated. We have barely tried to build.
From 2021 to 2025, the Philippines attracted USD 1.52 billion in automotive investment. Thailand: USD 10.32 billion. Indonesia: USD 9.10 billion. Vietnam, twenty years ago with no domestic vehicles, now has VinFast producing EVs for America and Europe — from empty land to a factory in 21 months.
This is national will translated into national action. Bakit hindi tayo nagawa ito? Why have we not done this? Barriers exist, yes — but they are real problems with real solutions.
We have talent, ingenuity, and resilience. The missing element has been coordinated strategy and operational governance. Tonight, we lay the foundation for both.
II. STRATEGIC PATIENCE: THE LESSON FROM KOREA
South Korea once stood where we stand now. In the 1960s, Korean industries were fragile, untested, and globally uncompetitive. Through deliberate, patient, sequenced governance, Korea built a manufacturing powerhouse, integrating industrial planning, infrastructure, education, and finance into a cohesive national vision.
The Philippines can replicate this if we choose systems over ad hoc projects, institutions over personalities, and patience over impulse. Strategic patience is not delay; it is deliberate action.
III. THE PHILIPPINE TRANSFORMATION ROADMAP
Tonight, I present a blueprint for national transformation — a roadmap for industries, jobs, governance, and security.
1. Cluster-Based Industrial Development
Investments will concentrate in strategic clusters — corridors of production, innovation, and export potential.
- Northern Luzon Automotive and Renewable Energy Cluster
- Central Visayas Electronics and Shipbuilding Cluster
- Mindanao Agro-Industrial and Strategic Resource Cluster
Within each cluster, infrastructure, energy, digital connectivity, and workforce development grow together, ensuring cumulative impact across industries. No project stands alone.
2. Phased Industrial Sequencing
Transformation happens in phases, not overnight:
- Phase 1: Critical infrastructure, logistics, and human capital
- Phase 2: Domestic production scaling, supply chain localization
- Phase 3: Global integration and export readiness
Each phase builds upon the last, creating systemic, long-term impact.
3. Education Aligned with Industry
Workers will be ready for every phase, from engineering to logistics to factory management.
- Vocational training in industrial technology
- STEM expansion in public schools
- University-industry partnership programs
Filipinos will lead the production, innovation, and management, not merely follow foreign operations.
4. Institutional Anchors
To survive political cycles, we strengthen:
- NEDA for national development planning
- NSC for security and strategic coordination
- Tri-capital coordination hubs for economic, political, and technological integration
These anchors ensure continuity beyond electoral cycles.
5. Strategic FDI Engagement
We will welcome investors who bring technology, skills, and market access, integrating industrial clusters globally while retaining domestic value.
IV. THE URGENCY OF DIRECT DEMOCRACY
Mga kababayan, a nation that builds must also govern with its citizens actively engaged. People power is not an occasional display of protest; it is a continuous, operational principle.
In 2020, I argued that citizen participation must be institutionalized. By 2024, the urgency is undeniable. Filipinos cannot rely solely on moments of intervention to define democracy. Citizens must have routine, structured, and actionable roles in governance.
A clear example is the Payoyo Petition concerning RA 12064 and RA 12065. Legal experts highlighted a gap: citizens, though constitutionally empowered to participate in lawmaking via initiative, referendum, and recall, rarely have operational pathways to influence laws before enactment.
We will change that.
1. Making Direct Democracy Operational
We will implement fully legal, procedural, and constitutionally consistent mechanisms:
- Citizen assemblies at the barangay and canton level for law deliberation
- Digital platforms enabling structured initiative and referendum proposals
- Randomly selected, demographically representative panels to review national legislation
- Direct citizen input on budget allocation, local development, and cluster strategy
- Transparent tracking of citizen suggestions and government responses
- Mechanisms ensuring recall and accountability for officials failing to uphold public trust
This will make democracy continuous, not episodic — responsive, inclusive, and effective.
V. COMMUNITY POWER: BARANGAYS AND CANTONS
Our nation is defined not only by Manila, Cebu, or Davao, but by over 42,000 barangays. These local nodes are the backbone of governance:
- Delivering services and resolving disputes
- Monitoring local development and environmental compliance
- Contributing to civil and maritime defense
Cantons provide provincial autonomy, while tri-capitals coordinate strategy across:
- Political Capital: Manila
- Economic/Industrial Capital: Cebu/Clark
- Strategic Defense Capital: Davao/Zamboanga
This networked, multi-nodal governance system ensures local autonomy and national coherence, while citizens are actively embedded in policy and operational decisions.
VI. THE ARCHIPELAGO FORTRESS DOCTRINE
Our islands are strength, not vulnerability.
- Dispersed, hardened, technologically enabled units will secure territory
- NSIO (National Strategic Integration Office) ensures strategic cohesion
- MFC (Maritime Fusion Center) fuses intelligence, maritime monitoring, and anti-access assets
- Barangays participate in civil defense, environmental monitoring, and maritime security
The Archipelago Fortress Doctrine turns geography into a strategic defensive advantage.
VII. INDUSTRY, ECONOMY, AND NATIONAL WILL
We will manufacture, not just consume:
- Domestic automotive and shipbuilding
- Modernized agriculture and fisheries
- STEM-driven workforce development
- Clustered supply chains aligned with global markets
The Philippine Automotive Sector Enabling Legislative Package is the first concrete step. This is not for corporations alone — it is for every Filipino who has labored, studied, and dreamed of national self-reliance.
VIII. THE BURDEN OF NOW
I am asked if this is the right moment. We face territorial pressures, fiscal limits, and an approaching election cycle. My answer: when, if not now?
The window to become an ASEAN industrial hub closes by 2030. Delay risks permanent relegation to a consumption-only economy.
The best time to plant a tree was twenty years ago. The second-best time is today. Today is the day we plant.
IX. GEOPOLITICAL AND ECONOMIC STRATEGY
We are strategic partners, not satellites:
- Territorial sovereignty is non-negotiable
- Maritime, industrial, and economic security are integrated
- Citizens are empowered to participate continuously in governance and defense
We will build strength while partnering commercially with the world.
X. THE CALL TO ACTION
I ask Congress, local governments, institutions, and citizens:
Defend our seas. Empower our communities. Build our industries. Participate continuously in governance.
This is a national mission, not partisan politics.
XI. CONCLUSION: THE FILIPINO BUILDS
In 1935, President Quezon told Filipinos they were ready for self-government. Tonight, I declare: Filipinos are ready to build, innovate, defend, and govern.
The engineers are ready. The workers are ready. The capital is ready. The market is ready. Our partners are ready. The citizens are ready to exercise direct, operational democracy.
All that is needed — all that has ever been needed — is the will.
Tonight, we declare that will. We send to Congress the Philippine Automotive Sector Enabling Legislative Package — five bills, one future, one Philippines that builds.
Gumagawa na ang Pilipino. The Filipino builds. Mabuhay ang Pilipinas. Mabuhay ang bawat Pilipino. Long live the Philippines. Long live every Filipino.
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[…] BINI will be on the Coachella stage on two consecutive Fridays. The Philippines is, hopefully, on the road not only to a stronger presence on the world stage, but also to building more opportunities at home through industries like music – and maybe cars? […]
Reposting my comment from the previous article:
I finished my analysis of how a Philippines automotive industry might be built and what supporting legislation would be required. The analysis is a complete package, including:
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fo/dkdvxxcbd861ohg2f5dk1/APAu4kfrF_6rRfoK8UPR1aE?rlkey=bbwylv47h4hvrl9lp64pvh9na&st=dz7kzgwv&dl=0
As I mentioned before I used Claude and OpenClaw, fed with industry studies, industry data, historical analysis, corporate investment reports, and government reports from the UN, US, Japan, South Korea. The outputted report artifacts are quite heavy so I appreciate anyone taking the time to read through it but the conclusions are eye-opening and urgent.
As someone who is a manufacturing industry veteran (and spend a good amount of time in the automotive sector), I know well how the OEM (Tier-0) and Supply Chain (Tier-1, Tier-2, Tier-3) supports a great number of jobs whose salaries support even more downstream service jobs (shopping malls, food vendors, transportation providers, dental/medical services, etc. etc.). The Philippines leaders need to stop thinking about specific industries as an end result or end goal but rather target industries that create economic multipliers. I’ve long believed that the tendency to think in terms of “others have car companies, why can’t we have one?” then stopping because things look too complicated is a major reason why the Philippines can’t seem to think strategically. A major industry like a automotive industry is not just a matter of national pride in a domestic car brand, but it is an enabler and pipeliner for hundreds of thousands of jobs.
Five Most Important Takeaways:
1. The Philippines Has a Closing Window — and the Capital to Act
2. The Production Offset Obligation Is the Most Powerful Single Instrument
3. The Philippines Has a Hidden Automotive Superpower It Has Never Deployed
4. Geopolitics Is an Asset, Not Only a Constraint
5. The Filipino People Are the Argument — and the Destination
Cost-Benefit Assessment:
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tutavgqxnbacvglnb8wpv/GDP.PNG?rlkey=l8uv79c997df2dqdmrhzjcglh&e=1&st=pmorsyu9&dl=0
Thanks again. I wanted to work on that but nobody does it better.
I ran the following prompt on ChatGPT, uploading files 2, 3 and 4..
the result was this which is extremely interesting:
now I asked for a more detailed (one sentence per section) summary of document 2 by ChatGPT and got this:
for document 3 I got this:
document 4 I will read in detail until this evening..
What I can say is in my studies of post-Đổi Mới Reform (1986-) Vietnam industrial policy, Vietnam’s economic planners study quite closely the Korean Model — the canonical example of compressed industrialization strategy achieving success. In addition the Japanese Model and Taiwanese Models were both studied extensively, and while Vietnam industrial policy is mainly informed by the Korean Model, elements have been taken from the Japanese and Taiwanese Models as well. Crucially the lessons taken were applied to the Vietnamese context to inform where Vietnam may begin not where Vietnam will finish. All the above 3 countries being of the old Sinosphere and sharing a Confucian framework does help in making ideas portable.
Specifically I see evidence of Vietnam replicating the South Korean chaebǒl system within a Vietnamese context. In Vietnamese policy papers POSCO is often cited as a major foundational industry (steel) that enabled the expansion of supporting and higher-value industries. State policy and industrial execution follows accordingly.
Vietnam and South Korea being in the old Sinosphere also have had a rivalry within that sphere. Eventually the Vietnamese king considered himself more legitimate within the Confucian framework than the Chinese suzerain whose court was accused of degrading into decadence. Eventually the Joseon king did the same, in a sort of rivalry. But there was also a historical figure, the exiled Prince Lý Long Tường/Lee Yong Sang (이용상) the last survivor of the Lý Dynasty who taught the Goryeo court how to fight and defeat the Mongol invasions which the Vietnamese had done before multiple times. Prince Lý Long Tường/Lee Yong Sang went on to found the still existent Hwasan Lee Clan which has produced numerous Korean military heroes. The Hwasan Lee Clan, though now smaller, were crucial in bridging relationships between Vietnam and South Korea, turning distrust into cooperation.
There are multiple other threads to pull on that all come together, but the common through line is that South Korea ended up investing the most FDI into Vietnam (along with the US, Taiwan, Japan, China).
1. SK Group invested $1 billion into VinGroup’s VinFast, providing both startup capital and a major credibility signal to other investors who started pouring in.
2. SK On (formerly SK Innovation) has multiple EV battery manufacturing investments in Vietnam.
3. Samsung is the largest investor in Vietnam, giving access to an electronics supply chain and prioritization for Samsung chip fabs.
4. Both Hyundai and Kia are major investors in Vietnam’s CKD and JV operations, which recently achieved 40% local content.
The Philippines elite attitude when it comes to planning is much different and to be frank amounts to waiting around for some richer benefactor to give things for free. How is this any different from what elites look down on poor Filipinos for being so bobo in doing? If things can’t be given for free then elites are fine with skimming an it of tax and excise off the top of imports. EVIDA ended up being a complete giveaway to foreign imports because a small segment of richer Filipinos wanted BEVs. CARS is a flawed and unstable program that no one has apparently noticed only gets as many cars assembled in the Philippines as needed to capture tax concessions. Either way, that won’t give Filipino businesses that have capital lying around confidence to build anything.
Reading Alice in Wonderland by Lewis Carroll to less privileged kids at church this afternoon and came to this famous exchange between Alice and the Cheshire Cat:
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/449586-alice-would-you-tell-me-please-which-way-i-ought
Without a clear and specific goal consistently applied, any action or path taken will merely lead to an arbitrary “somewhere.” Purpose and deliberate planning along with application are important in ensuring desired outcomes…
I have skimmed over Document 4, the 5 to 10 year Blueprint yesterday.. this is one document I will print out to read the 20 pages meticulously. It somehow reminds me of a business plan but at national level. You will probably see how many people have already downloaded it on Dropbox – I wonder if it is more than a handful, aka 5 people. And I am still skeptical that most Filipino lawmakers will see it as anything more than “plans-plans” to quote Sen Bato.
next I have to – like Germany itself haha – catch up when it comes to all the EV stuff. Or in general understand the automotive industry a bit more – as I just learned about Tier 1-x days ago. Will be with questions tomorrow as today and tomorrow are holidays in Germany. (P.S. edited out the conditionals in the last sentence.. because as Master Yoda said, there is no try, only do)
Unfortunately there is no view/download counter on Dropbox. There is a folder-level bandwidth limit (~20GB/day) which is hard to hit for documents.
Per my analysis the Philippines is basically going to be locked out of participating in the manufacturing side of the BEV transition unless there is entry before 2030. So inaction by Congress and the President will be to the detriment of the economy. Essentially the OFW and BPO income, which I elaborated together with Francis, is what enables the FOREX outflow needed for importing goods that Filipinos want. Both OFW and BPO are on precarious ground for different reasons. I figured if somehow a version of this analysis could get in front of the President he might be able to set some expectations of “support me now” so he can possibly push the plan through if he does choose to either run as a tandem or support the next administration. Imagine pulling 700K Filipinos out of poverty and actually paying engineers a decent salary so they don’t migrate!
My time in the automotive industry was solidly in the pre-BEV era. I am also a fan of automotive sports and have done some amateur street/highway racing myself. I appreciate the sing-song nature of ICE sports cars, which is largely absent in my daily-driver PHEV. My favorite owned car was my old BMW E60 M5 with its raucous S85 V10. However ICE is numbered as a propulsory tech. ICE is also very complicated, requiring highly engineered motors connected to equally highly engineered transmissions and clutches. Things get even more complicated if a vehicle has AWD or 4WD as now multiple transfer cases need to be thrown into the mix.
Contrast with BEVs which are essentially skateboards with a battery pack. Typically on a BEV there is an electric single-motor that drives either the front or rear axel, or dual-motors that independently drive the front and rear axels. Tri-motors are usually configured with two small motors inside the front wheels and a third motor driving the rear wheels. Quad-motors have a small motor inside each wheel. Batteries until quite recently were basically a battery pack made of standard 18650, 2170, 4680 Li-Ion cylindrical batteries (the type laptop battery packs used to use after moving from Ni-MH to Li-Ion before moving to molded Li-Po non-replaceable batteries), All modular, like building a LEGO set.
Actually the most complicated part of a BEV is the Battery Management System (BMS) and the vehicle’s software (which replaces dozens of ECUs on an ICE car). Still, much easier to engineer and build than ICE cars, which is why the Chinese were able to vault so quickly ahead in BEVs. The Chinese had been struggling for years to develop ICE technology (and mostly failing to reach the efficiencies of American, Japanese, and German ICE tech). BEV is a game changer. The biggest Chinese contribution to BEVs is mass-producing clones of more energy-dense (non-cylindrical) automotive battery packs (AFAIK pioneered by LG Chemical) more cheaply, which BYD was the leader in cheaper batteries before they jumped into BEVs.
Now when it comes to VinFast’s strategy, the chassis, monocoque, and styling were all done in-house, as well as the wiring harnesses. I admit the styling on VinFast cars is very nice, which is not a surprise as they hired the top automotive designers in the industry, just like the South Koreans did that transformed Korean cars from being ugly boxes to futuristic and luxurious machines. AFAIK VinES (VinGroup Energy Solutions) sources battery tech licenses from Gotion (China) and Samsung SDI, while having a JV with LG Chemical to produce automotive battery packs. The battery tech and pack production are the main foreign technology transfers VinFast needed. VinFast software still sucks (although re-reviewers said updates have vastly improved the software), but would a Philippines company be able to take the massive criticism VinFast received from reviewers that mostly about the crappy automotive software, take it with humility, and go back with a mindset of self-improvement?
OK as I am pretty much a beginner in these areas, I uploaded document number 4 and asked ChatGPT for this:
and wow it explained it much like Isaac Asimov in his popular science books that made me like science:
I can almost make a Powerpoint presentation out of this but first better read as at least I somewhat understand the 20 pages I am reading now.
Glad to help!
I now asked ChatGPT to make a slide deck for the public communications (File 8, which I do understand when I read it) in a simplified manner and this came out:
to wit, the following five laws the are proposed:
– Philippine Automotive Resurgence and Electrification Act of 2026 (PAREA) – creating a coordinating agency, basically
– Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Investment Act of 2026 (EVMIA) – creating an investment framework
– Green Public Transport Electrification Fund Act of 2026 (GPTEFA) – making it easier for tricycle and jeepney operators to go electric
– Industrial Power Competitiveness Act of 2026 (IPCA) – making da koryente cheaper forda pactory (couldn’t help this, sorry ha)
– Philippine Automotive Testing and Certification Centre Act of 2026 (PATCCA) – DOST backed (makes sense as DOST has the people for that)
OK, this indeed might work in the Philippine setting – if there is political will to do it.
Now I asked for a summary of impact-analysis (File 6) but not in a way that reads like Wikipedia Simple English, more graduate level and got this:
reminds me of ROI computations I have seen for software projects – I have put what I consider most important in bold font. Awrrightt..
Karl, all this is something I can turn into an article, it would take some weeks to do well but it can be done. The purpose after all is to convince people who might read here to bring this to people who can convince those who make decisions. (P.S. article is coming out on April 26th)
P.P.S. glossary:
– ICE (internal combustion engine) and BEV (battery electric vehicle)
– CARS (Comprehensive Automotive Resurgence Strategy Program) of 2015
– EVIDA (Electric Vehicle Industry Development Act) of 2022
so 1. ASEAN Automotive Investment Report says CARS favors ICE/hybrids and not BEVs (not future proof) even if this is just the part I started to read..
also that it has no “local content escalator” which would develop local suppliers (something Radiowealth did only a little – for speakers and transformers)
and that it utilizes the local market too little, instead of subsidizing that it buys electric vehicles..
somewhat OT: https://x.com/bnstim/status/2040640645988303355 from Tim Hormigos: